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国际临床研究杂志

International Journal of Clinical Research

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International Journal of Clinical Research. 2025; 9: (6) ; 10.12208/j.ijcr.20250299 .

Clinical prediction model analysis of ankle joint instability in patients with talar bone cartilage injury
距骨骨软骨损伤的患者合并踝关节不稳的临床预测模型分析

作者: 卢炯炯 *, 杨喜乐, 董保婷, 陈贝贝

漯河医学高等专科学校第二附属医院 河南漯河

*通讯作者: 卢炯炯,单位:漯河医学高等专科学校第二附属医院 河南漯河;

引用本文: 卢炯炯, 杨喜乐, 董保婷, 陈贝贝 距骨骨软骨损伤的患者合并踝关节不稳的临床预测模型分析[J]. 国际临床研究杂志, 2025; 9: (6) : 115-117.
Published: 2025/6/27 12:15:00

摘要

目的 探讨距骨骨软骨损伤(OLTs)患者合并慢性踝关节不稳(CAI)的临床预测因子,建立预测模型以指导手术方案选择。方法 选择2023年7月到2024年6月收治的OLTs患者40例,收集患者临床数据,通过MRI检查和AOFAS功能评分随访1年。采用Logistic回归分析独立危险因素。结果 多因素分析确定了OLTs合并CAI的独立预测因子,构建的预测模型具有较高的灵敏度和特异度。结论 本研究建立的预测模型可有效识别OLTs合并CAI的高风险患者,指导临床选择联合韧带修复术等个性化治疗方案,改善患者预后。

关键词: 距骨骨软骨损伤;慢性踝关节不稳;预测模型

Abstract

Objective To explore the clinical predictive factors of chronic ankle instability (CAI) in patients with talus osteochondral injuries (OLTs), and establish a predictive model to guide surgical plan selection.
Methods Forty patients with OLTs admitted from July 2023 to June 2024 were selected, and clinical data were collected. MRI examination and AOFAS functional score were followed up for one year. Use logistic regression analysis to identify independent risk factors.
Results Multivariate analysis identified independent predictive factors for OLTs combined with CAI, and the constructed predictive model exhibited high sensitivity and specificity.
Conclusion   The predictive model established in this study can effectively identify high-risk patients with OLTs combined with CAI, guide clinical selection of personalized treatment plans such as combined ligament repair, and improve patient prognosis.

Key words: Talar bone cartilage injury; Chronic ankle instability; Prediction model

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